Montana Water Resources

August 2019 Composite Moisture Index calculated from SMAP, MODIS NDSI, SNODAS SWE, and SNODAS snow depth data overlayed on mean MODIS NDSI data for December 2019 to February 2020 for the Missouri River Basin at a HUC 2 Region 6 scale. Purple CMI values correspond to wetter areas whereas yellow areas correspond to drier areas. Lighter shades of blue for the NDSI data represent more snow cover for that area. 

Keywords: CMI, MODIS NDSI, SNODAS SWE, SNODAS snow depth, SMAP, Missouri River Basin

Developing a Composite Moisture Index Utilizing NASA Earth Observations for Drought Monitoring in the Missouri River Basin

The Missouri River Basin provides irrigation water for a substantial part of the domestic agricultural sector within the United States. Drought events pose a significant threat to the economic livelihoods of dependent individuals, industries, and ecosystems (e.g. farmers, local tribes, hydroelectric power, wildlife). In 2017 alone, the Missouri River Basin experienced a severe drought that resulted in a $2.6 billion loss to the U.S. Northern Plains. In response to such events, organizations throughout the basin, such as the Montana Climate Office, have dedicated efforts for drought monitoring and communicating relevant information to local stakeholders. In an effort to aid regional decision-making capabilities, the project team partnered with the Montana Climate Office, NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) Missouri Basin River Forecast Center, and NOAA Regional Climate Services, Central Region to create a monthly Composite Moisture Index (CMI) that relies on NASA Earth observations from the Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission. From these satellites, as well as the NOAA NWS National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center’s Snow Data Assimilation System (SNODAS), our team aggregated climate datasets including soil moisture, snow cover, snow depth, and snow water equivalent to compute a CMI that indicates regional moisture conditions during the winter months. The March CMI values produced over the Missouri River headwater subbasin strongly correlate (r = 0.75) with spring and early summer stream discharge, demonstrating the use of this metric to indicate moisture conditions for the snowmelt and growing seasons.

Location
North Carolina - NCEI
Term
Fall 2020
Partner(s)
Montana Climate Office
NOAA, National Weather Service, Missouri Basin River Forecast Center
NOAA, Regional Climate Services, Central Region
NASA Earth Observations
Terra MODIS
SMAP
Team
Chloe Schneider (Project Lead)
Dean Berkowitz
Egla Ochoa-Madrid
Julie Sorfleet
Advisor(s)
Ronald Leeper (NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies)